FanDuel has France at -420 to advance past Morocco tonight at Gillette Stadium. Eighty-five percent of bets are on France. Eighty-seven percent of the money is on France. And yet. Morocco is +310 to advance. That’s a real number. These are real dollars you could put on a team that went to the 2022 WorldContinue reading “Morocco Is +550 to Beat France and I’m Not Fading It”
Tag Archives: Sports Betting
Massachusetts Is Teaching Kids the Real Cost of a Parlay. The Gambling Industry Has Opinions About That.
In the spring of 2025, MACGH — the Massachusetts Council on Gaming and Health brought a five-session curriculum into five high schools and three community organizations around the state. The program walked teenagers through how gambling advertising works, what the actual math on a parlay looks like, and what problem gambling warning signs feel likeContinue reading “Massachusetts Is Teaching Kids the Real Cost of a Parlay. The Gambling Industry Has Opinions About That.”
Polymarket: Someone Lost $8.6 Million on a Belgium Draw and the Industry Doesn’t Want You Connecting the Dots
A trader on Polymarket went by “leeeroyjenkins.” He staked $8.6 million on Belgium to beat Egypt in the 2026 World Cup group stage. A win would have paid out $13.1 million. Belgium drew 1-1. Win-only contract. Zero payout. The full $8.6 million gone. Dark humor Twitter did its thing — “should’ve bet the draw,” etc.Continue reading “Polymarket: Someone Lost $8.6 Million on a Belgium Draw and the Industry Doesn’t Want You Connecting the Dots”
World Cup Betting Is Having Its Best Tournament Ever — and Bettors Are Getting Torched
The 2026 World Cup is the biggest betting event in American sports history. US sportsbooks are projecting a tournament-long handle somewhere between $2.82 billion and $4.3 billion, which would dwarf the last three Super Bowls combined. Kalshi hit $1 billion in single-day prediction market volume for the first time in its existence. The numbers areContinue reading “World Cup Betting Is Having Its Best Tournament Ever — and Bettors Are Getting Torched”
A Gambling Ad Every Four Minutes: Sports TV Has Become One Long Sportsbook Commercial
The Washington Post built an AI tool, pointed it at 50 hours of football, basketball, and hockey broadcasts recorded across six TV channels and a streaming service, and asked it to count. The result: a gambling reference — ad, graphic overlay, sponsored segment, or physical signage — every four minutes on average. Twenty-seven percent ofContinue reading “A Gambling Ad Every Four Minutes: Sports TV Has Become One Long Sportsbook Commercial”
Federal Indictments Are Doing Congress’s Job on Sports Betting
The federal government has now charged an MLB pitcher with taking bribes to rig pitches, arrested 34 people across two concurrent NBA gambling investigations, and indicted 39-plus college basketball players across 17 Division I programs in a point-shaving operation that ran for nearly three years. Sports betting integrity isn’t a hypothetical concern anymore. It’s aContinue reading “Federal Indictments Are Doing Congress’s Job on Sports Betting”
A Gambling Reference Every 4 Minutes: Sports TV Has a Problem It Won’t Admit
The Washington Post trained an AI to watch 50 hours of sports television and count gambling references — commercials, arena logos, broadcast overlays, analysts quoting spreads. Nearly 90,000 frames analyzed. The result: one gambling reference every four minutes, across every sport, every broadcast, every network. Hockey was the worst. Gambling references appeared in 60% ofContinue reading “A Gambling Reference Every 4 Minutes: Sports TV Has a Problem It Won’t Admit”
Senate Sports Betting Hearing: What the “No Sure Bets” Hearing Actually Means
The Senate Commerce Subcommittee has scheduled a hearing for May 20 titled “No Sure Bets: Protecting Sports Integrity in America,” and if you follow this industry closely, the name alone tells you everything about who’s driving the agenda. Congress doesn’t call a hearing “No Sure Bets” because it’s trying to protect you. It calls aContinue reading “Senate Sports Betting Hearing: What the “No Sure Bets” Hearing Actually Means”
Kalshi Is Running a Sportsbook and Calling It a ‘Prediction Market’ — And States Are Fighting Back
Kalshi raised $1 billion yesterday. Sequoia, a16z, and Coatue handed it over at a $22 billion valuation — making Kalshi one of the most richly valued companies in the prediction market space, or the sports betting space, depending on which regulator you ask. Arizona says the second one, and they’ve filed 20 criminal misdemeanor countsContinue reading “Kalshi Is Running a Sportsbook and Calling It a ‘Prediction Market’ — And States Are Fighting Back”
The Kentucky Derby Has an Algorithm Problem — And Bettors Are About to Get Burned Again
Tomorrow is the 152nd Kentucky Derby. Renegade sits at 4-1. Commandment and Further Ado are right behind at 6-1. The whole country is going to dump money into the pools. And a chunk of that money is going to get eaten by a machine. Not a scam in the back room. Not a crooked jockey.Continue reading “The Kentucky Derby Has an Algorithm Problem — And Bettors Are About to Get Burned Again”
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