Thirty-nine races. Zero winners from Post 1. The last horse to win the Kentucky Derby from the rail was Ferdinand in 1986 — when Ronald Reagan was president and the internet didn’t exist. That’s the number you need to hold onto before you do anything with Renegade today. Renegade is a good horse. Todd PletcherContinue reading “Renegade Is the Derby Favorite — But the Rail Hasn’t Won in 40 Years and the Sharp Money Knows It”
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The Kentucky Derby Has an Algorithm Problem — And Bettors Are About to Get Burned Again
Tomorrow is the 152nd Kentucky Derby. Renegade sits at 4-1. Commandment and Further Ado are right behind at 6-1. The whole country is going to dump money into the pools. And a chunk of that money is going to get eaten by a machine. Not a scam in the back room. Not a crooked jockey.Continue reading “The Kentucky Derby Has an Algorithm Problem — And Bettors Are About to Get Burned Again”
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